The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End - Neil Howe Audiobook
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The visionary behind the bestselling phenomenon The Fourth Turning looks once again to America’s past to predict our future in this startling and hopeful prophecy for how our present era of civil unrest will resolve over the next ten years—and what our lives will look like once it has.
Twenty-five years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they’d uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting roughly eighty to one hundred years, the length of a long human life, with each cycle composed of four eras—or “turnings”—that always arrive in the same order and each last about twenty years. The last of these eras—the fourth turning—was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilization as traumatic and transformative as the New Deal and World War II, the Civil War, or the American Revolution.
Now, right on schedule, our own fourth turning has arrived. And so Neil Howe has returned with an extraordinary new prediction. What we see all around us—the polarization, the growing threat of civil conflict and global war—will culminate by the early 2030s in a climax that poses great danger and yet also holds great promise, perhaps even bringing on America’s next golden age. Every generation alive today will play a vital role in determining how this crisis is resolved, for good or ill.
Illuminating, sobering, yet ultimately empowering, The Fourth Turning Is Here takes you back into history and deep into the collective personality of each living generation to make sense of our current crisis, explore how all of us will be differently affected by the political, social, and economic challenges we’ll face in the decade to come, and reveal how our country, our communities, and our families can best prepare to meet these challenges head-on.
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This post has 10 comments with rating of 5/5
July 22nd, 2023
Thank you. :)
July 22nd, 2023
Man, you are on it. I am just finishing the first book, The fourth turning. You are the best Rmoor—
July 22nd, 2023
Astrology for really dumb, gullible right wingers. But I repeat myself. Anyway thanks for the laughs rmoor, always appreciated.
July 22nd, 2023
Astrology and Astronomy have been part of human history, Not a right wing talking point Sir. Please read some books and do not just watch the news. Empires come and go just read history.
July 23rd, 2023
@pbcaddy, what a very sad state to live in, to believe anything that is remotely innovative, unconventional or controversial is right wing propaganda. Good luck with that ‘winning’ belief system, im sure believing that climate change and video games cause heart attacks is better.
July 23rd, 2023
Historian Howe (The Fourth Turning, with Strauss) revisits in this far-ranging treatise his concept of historical cycles, which he calls saecula, composed of four generation-long “Turnings.” Since WWII, Howe contends, humans have passed through the “High,” “Awakening,” and “Unraveling” turnings and are currently in the fourth, the “Crisis” turning, which should climax by the early 2030s. The vaguely sketched period could see economic crashes, political chaos, or war, but it will likely leave humanity, Howe argues, with reinvigorated national institutions, social solidarity, prosperity, and technological marvels. Howe grounds all this in an intricate system of generational archetypes stretching back to the 15th century. Thus, the baby boomers are a prophet generation that will offer visionary leadership in the crisis, Generation X a nomad generation that will seek to provide pragmatic management and stability after suffering childhood abandonment, millennials a public-spirited hero generation that will build the new order, and Generation Z an overly sensitive artist generation. Howe’s writing sometimes feels nebulous and Nostradamian—“As Artists replace the Heroes in childhood, they are overprotected at a time of traumatic conflict and adult self-sacrifice”—and his historical comparisons aren’t always well supported. The result is an intriguing but ultimately unconvincing theory of history’s convoluted patterns
July 23rd, 2023
Thanks for the post and sharing.
Bellingham, WA
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(=’.’=) This is Bunny. Copy and paste Bunny into your
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July 23rd, 2023
I’m not sure that you can call a book which suggests the GOP will be annihilated sometime before the 2032 GE ‘right wing astrology’.
There are some hard lessons here for political conservatives, if they choose to pay attention.
July 23rd, 2023
There does seem a generational and cyclic pattern to western history, most visible from the middle ages through the French Revolution, the Industrial Revolution, and the Fin de siècle social movements, culminating with the final collapse of the European order concluding World War One. I remember sitting through all the iterations of “Western Civilization”
courses in high school, later in college, wondering if there’s some sort of wiring for nihilism that sets off a sort of “chaos bomb” once every century, like we’re wired to destroy everything every hundred years.
July 24th, 2023
I see I struck a nerve with the tiny brained folk. Success!
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